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Finally

Posted: June 25, 2010 at 8:00 pm

Since I consistently make market predictions and am always right (muahahahaha) I figured I would actually write them down and stand by them.

Firstly: Apple is inflated. Back when it was around 210 it felt overinflated before the iPad announcement (though when it touched 190 I yelled BUY!) It has hit the stratosphere mainly on hype and brand - or really overhype. Good products are enroaching on their space, they currently have a brooding iPhone 4 fiasco, and I’ve noticed brand fatigue amongst even diehard users. iPad has done well in initial sales but it won’t be a continued driver of revenue for them long term. A year from now the value will be a very different picture. A dearth of new products and major updates to current products will turn its price downward. It’s like Google a few years back when people thought it would reach $1000 a share. I called that bubble - I’m calling this one too.

Second: EA is drastically undervalued. There is a good management team over there with great products making extremely smart decisions. Stock value will grow drastically over the next few years.

A year ago I made the prediction we would touch 11,000 in March and tumble immediately back to realistic levels (upper 9,000). I was early by about a month.

Finally, I asked the question “Why is Ford so cheap?” last March. They had plenty of cash, good products, and good brand.

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